Understanding NEO
NEO Size and Risk
| Size | Impact Frequency | Effect | Detection Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| < 25 m | Yearly | Burns up in atmosphere; airburst possible | Largely undetected |
| 25–140 m | Centuries | City-scale destruction (Tunguska-class) | Partially catalogued |
| 140 m – 1 km | Tens of thousands of years | Regional devastation | 40% detected |
| > 1 km | Millions of years | Global climate disruption | 95% detected |
| > 10 km | 100 million years | Mass extinction (Chicxulub-class) | All known; none threatening |
Planetary Defence
NASA's DART mission (Double Asteroid Redirection Test) successfully demonstrated kinetic impactor deflection in September 2022 by crashing a spacecraft into Dimorphos, a 160-metre asteroid moon, and measurably changing its orbital period. This was the first real-world test of planetary defence technology. ESA's Hera mission (launched 2024) will survey the impact site in detail. Future deflection methods under study include gravity tractors (a spacecraft hovering near an asteroid, using its own gravity to slowly tug it), ion beam deflection, and nuclear standoff detonation for larger objects requiring rapid response.
Detection and Tracking
NEOs are primarily discovered by ground-based survey telescopes including the Catalina Sky Survey, Pan-STARRS, and ATLAS. NASA's NEO Surveyor space telescope (planned launch 2028) will use infrared observations to dramatically accelerate detection of smaller, darker asteroids that ground-based optical surveys miss. The goal mandated by the US Congress is to catalogue 90% of NEOs larger than 140 metres — a target that current ground-based surveys alone cannot meet.